Silver Updates

Silver futures on COMEX are quoting up for a second straight session, starting the New Year on a song as good demand has emerged in precious metals complex. A reprieve on the US fiscal cliff boosted the sentiments for risky assets and bullion metals rallied alongside as a weak turn in US dollar kept the buying on. The commodity quotes at $30.59, up 3.6 cents or 1.20% on the day.

Yesterday, the US House of Representatives has passed legislation to avert big income tax increases on most Americans and prevent large cuts in spending for the Pentagon and other government programs. The measure, brought to the House floor less than 24 hours after its passage in the Senate, passed 257-167, with 85 Republicans joining 172 Democrats in voting to allow income taxes to rise for the first time in two decades, in this case for Americans earning more than $400,000 for individuals, or $450,000 for couples.

COMEX Silver had slumped to a four month low under $30 per ounce in the last month but steady buying has been a perennial feature of the trade thereafter. The markets are also looking out for the Semiconductor Industry Association's latest global sales report. The report presents three-month moving average of global semiconductor sales activity and has turned out to be a useful too to measure silver industrial demand.

MCX Silver futures for March 2012 are trading at Rs 58168, up Rs 250 per kg or 0.43% on the day. The open interest in the counter is up by 2% on the day. Prices had dropped well under Rs 58000 in last session but seem to be charting a decent recovery now.

Silver Updates

Select momentum oscillators like the Stochastic Slow has given a buy signal for Gold on the daily charts.  Hence, going ahead Monday's low is likely to be crucial for the rest of the week.

As long as MCX Gold February futures sustain above Rs 31,560, one can use dips as an opportunity to make fresh purchases. On the upside, Gold can spurt to Rs 31,850-odd levels.

In today's outlook, the Gold MCX February futures may face resistance around Rs 31,780-31,800-31,830. On the downside, Gold MCX may seek support around Rs 31,620-31,600-31,570.

The corresponding key levels for Gold Mini January futures are as follows - support at Rs 31,475-31,450-31,435, while face resistance around Rs 31,600-31,615-31,635.

Silver Updates

Gold futures wavered near $1750 an ounce levels unable to surge further as safe haven appeal for the metal diminished. However the weak US dollar continued to lend support to the metal at lower levels.
Gold has been unable to breach the $1800 mark for more than a year needs some solid reason to breakthrough that level, and the US fiscal cliff could provide the next breakthrough to the metal. The fiscal cliff refers to more than $600 billion of automatic U.S. tax hikes and spending cuts due to occur in January unless circumvented beforehand.
News of a deal to clear the way for Greece’s next aid payment sent the euro higher Tuesday, with the common currency briefly topping the psychologically-important $1.30 handle, while the U.S. dollar lost ground.
The euro changed hands for $1.2987 Tuesday afternoon in East Asia, up from $1.2961 late Monday in North America. The advance came after Greece’s creditors reached a long-awaited deal to pave the way for Athens to receive fresh financial aid
The dollar, meanwhile, moved in the other direction. The ICE dollar index, which measures the greenback against a basket of six other currencies, slipped to 80.114 from 80.227 late Monday.
Gold for December delivery rose 50 cents to $1,750.10 an ounce on the Comex division of the New York Mercantile Exchange during East Asia trading hours.
Greece’s institutional lenders reached a deal to pave the way for Athens to receive almost 44 billion euros (almost $57 billion) of financial aid, while bringing its debt down to a sustainable level.
MCX December gold futures are trading up nearly Rs 55 at Rs 32415 per 10 grams. It may face a resistance near Rs 31475 levels today.

Silver Updates

Bullion metals ended lower at Comex on Tuesday, 27 November 2012. Gold prices ended lower for second straight day as the dollar headed up and a sort of debt deal was reached at Greece. Upbeat US data also took some shine away.

Gold for December delivery fell $7.3 (0.4%) to settle at $1,742.3 an ounce on the Comex division of the New York Mercantile Exchange on Tuesday.

On Tuesday, December silver fell 16 cents, or 0.5%, to settle at $33.98 an ounce.

In overnight trading, the European stock markets rallied only modestly on news that Euro zone leaders meeting in Brussels agreed late Monday to disburse fresh bailout funds to cash-starved Greece. Most market watchers had reckoned EU leaders would grant new monies to Greece. The world market place showed no significant reaction to the as-expected news on Greece.

A meeting to discuss Greece's finances wrapped up early Tuesday with Greece's institutional lenders reaching a deal to pave the way for Athens to receive almost 44 billion euros (almost $57 billion) of financial aid, while bringing its debt down to a sustainable level. The deal is expected to trigger another aid payment for the debt-struck country.

A heavy slate of U.S. economic data released Tuesday did show generally better-than-expected readings overall, and that put modest upside pressure on the U.S. dollar index, which in turn helped push gold and silver prices to their daily lows.

The dollar index, which weighs the strength of the dollar against a basket of six other currencies, rose by 0.2% on Tuesday. The Euro currency also was initially supported on the Greece news but could not hold those gains as the day wore on.

In today's economic news at Wall Street, Consumer confidence rose in November to its best reading in more than four years. The latest consumer confidence reading for November came in at 73.7, while market expected a reading of 73.0. The Conference Board said its consumer confidence index rose to 73.7 in November from 73.1 in October. That's above the 72.2 level forecast. The October reading was upwardly revised from 72.2.

Separately, the September Housing Price Index from the FHFA increased by 1.1%, which follows a 0.7% increase observed during the prior month. Also, the September Case-Shiller 20-city Home Price Index rose by 3.0%, while a 3.1% increase had been expected. This followed the previous month's increase of 2.0%.

Durable goods orders were unchanged in October, which was better than the 0.4% decrease that had been expected. Excluding transportation related items, durable goods orders increased in October by 1.5%, which was better than the 0.4% decrease that had been broadly anticipated. Prior month's reading was revised down to reflect an increase of 1.7%.

Traders and investors are also focused on the negotiations among U.S. lawmakers and President Obama regarding the so-called “fiscal cliff” tax increases and spending cuts that are approaching.

At the MCX, gold prices for February delivery closed lower by Rs 149 (0.45%) at Rs 32,594 per ten grams. Prices rose to a high of Rs 32,825 per 10 grams and fell to a low of Rs 32,550 per 10 grams during the day's trading.

At the MCX, silver prices for December delivery closed lower by Rs 198 (0.31%) at Rs 63,536/Kg. Prices opened at Rs 63,877/kg and fell to a low of Rs 63,361/Kg during the day's trading.

Silver Updates

The most active gold contract for December delivery increased $ 23.2 in a single trading session on Friday to settle at $ 1751.4 per ounce, up 2.1 percent in the week.

This is gold's highest closing price since October 17.Weak Dollar made Gold reach monthly high on COMEX division of New York Mercantile Exchange.

This week, U.S. Department of Labor said number of individuals filing for initial jobless benefits in the week ending November 17 declined to a seasonally adjusted 410000, in line with expectations.

Jobless claims for the preceding week were revised up to 4,51,000.

On currency front, Dollar fell by 2% against the Euro to 1.2977 as European data supported the local currency.

German Institute of Economic Research said that business climate index increased to 101.4 in October compared to 100 in the month of September. In France, the business confidence rose more than expected. INSEE said that French Business Confidence increased to 88 in the quarter ending September 2012, compared to 85 in the previous quarter.

Silver Updates

Silver Prices will rise higher even after Gold rally weakens:

With the uncertainty over the outcome, the US Presidential election has many investors on the sidelines . Gold will be supported by and likely see gains into year end due to the coming uncertainty surrounding the US “fiscal cliff.” For more details read: “Fiscal Cliff gets into Focus…” Tax increases and spending cuts are expected which would sink the US economy into a deep recession or a Depression. If US Congress cannot agree on a deal by the end of the year it could have deleterious effects on the dollar and on capital markets. Stormy volatility may be seen soon after the election when the reality of the appalling US fiscal and monetary situation is realized. China could become more aggressive in stimulating its economy with the new government in place at the end of the first quarter. Given the extremely bullish fundamentals for Inflation triggered due to ultra loose monetary policies, negative fiscal outlooks, negative real interest rates and global currency debasement, we expect this November and year end to be very positive for Gold and particularly the still highly undervalued Silver. The rational & prudent investors should ideally use the current dips in Gold and Silver Prices to enter fresh buy positions as both may soon rise with extreme volatility, especially Silver. Investment demand should support silver, as it benefits from higher Gold Prices, and may benefit the most from loose monetary policy and a rebound in risk appetite. The rally in Silver will extend higher even after the Gold rally weakens. A Rally in Base Metals & Silver is what seems the most likely outcome of the ultra lose monetary policy adopted by several central banks. With Gold already not far below its lifetime peak, the best alternate avenues are Silver & then the Base Metals complex with Copper riding the sector. Price out-performance more likely to come from those supply-constrained metals such as Copper & Lead. Accommodative monetary policy should provide support but the upside is limited by subdued demand in a sub-par economy. Weaker consumer demand will later hurt the industrial use of silver, while high prices then will reduce its demand as a jewelry material. Silver & Gold would then see sharp declines, though there is a long time to go for that to occur.

Silver Trading Level's

SILVER TRADING LEVELS FOR MORNING SESSION


S1 RS 60160 , S2 RS 59750 , S3 RS 59315

R1 RS  61210, R2 RS  61620, R3 RS  62220